O spear, rise up against My shepherd, against the husbandman, My fellow citizen, says the Lord Almighty. Strike the shepherd, and the sheep will scatter, and I will bring My hand upon the shepherds. And it shall come to pass on that day, says the Lord, that two-thirds will be lost, but the one-third will remain: I will bring that one-third through the fire, refining them as silver is refined, and testing them as gold is tested. They will call upon My name, and I will hear them, and say: These are My people; and they will respond: You, Lord, are my God.
Some attempt to weaken this prophecy through allegorical interpretations, yet this promise was fulfilled, as noted by the Evangelist Matthew, after His disciples fled during His trials. Indeed, Matthew recounts: Then said Jesus unto them, In this night shall ye all be tempted concerning me: for it is written, I will smite the shepherd, and the sheep of the flock shall be scattered (Matt. 26:31). Further, he states: And all these things were, that the writings of the prophets might be fulfilled. Then all the disciples, leaving Him, fled (Matt. 26:56).
It should not be presumed that this testimony originates elsewhere, for the Gospel declares that the shepherd is struck by God, while here we read the command regarding the spear: Strike the shepherd, and the sheep will be scattered. This spear is the one referred to by the Lord in Psalm 21, where He says to the Father: You shall deliver my soul from the spear, and my only one from the hand of the dog (Psalm 21:21). The prophet Amos also speaks of this spear, stating: All the sinners of the earth shall perish by the sword (Am. 9:10). This cannot be taken literally, as many sinners meet their end in various ways; nonetheless, by this sword and by this spear, all sinners face destruction or correction, including those black Ethiopians, as pointed out by Sophonias, saying: And ye Ethiopians shall be beaten with my sword (Soph. 2:12).
After the good Shepherd, who laid down His life for His sheep (Jn. 10:11) and said to the Father, He that was struck by You, they pursued, adding affliction to My wounds (Ps. 68:27), was crucified and declared, Father, into Your hands I commit My Spirit (Luke 23:46), the sheep scattered—meaning the entire community of believers in Christ. The Lord then turned His hand, as stated in the LXX, upon the shepherds, often misinterpreted as the leaders of the Jewish people. However, a better understanding aligns with the Hebrew text: on the little ones, to whom the Lord addresses in the Gospel: Do not fear, little flock (Luke 12:32) and in Isaiah: Behold, I and the children whom God has given Me (Isaiah 8:18).
In the land of both Jews and Gentiles, two-thirds perished; indeed, during His suffering, the Psalmist's words were fulfilled: Save me, O Lord, for there is no more holy one (Ps. 11:2) and: All have turned aside, they have together become corrupt; there is none who does good, no, not one (Ps. 13:3). Amid the ruin of both Gentiles and Jews, a third part, a new nation of Christians, emerged. Remarkably, it is said: the one-third shall remain on the earth, as only those who recognized the Lord were preserved from among Jews and Gentiles.
To ensure that this one-third does not grow weak in confession, they are led and tested like silver and gold through the fire kindled by the Lord (Luke 12:49) and the trials desired by the Apostle (Romans 8:35). Thus, the Apostles, baptized with Spirit and fire (Acts 2:3-4), exclaimed in the Psalm: For You, O God, have tested us; You have refined us as silver is refined (Psalm 65:10-11). Later, they declare: We went through fire and through water, but You brought us out to abundance (Psalm 65:12).
Moreover, believers are assured: If you pass through the fire, you shall not be burned, for I am with you (Isaiah 43:2). The flames will not consume you, for the Lord's word quells the fire (Ps. 28:7). As the little ones endure testing, leading to belief among the nations, they will call upon Christ by His name. In response to His declaration, You are My people, the people will affirm: You, Lord, are my God. While the Jews interpret this as a future event with Christ, we see it as fulfilled.